What the flip marks

A gamma flip is the price where modeled net gamma changes from positive to negative, or the reverse. The model estimates this by recalculating option exposure at different possible prices.

Why watch it? It marks a change in the model’s hedging context. Positive and negative gamma can imply different responses to price moves under the model’s position assumptions; neither sign means bullish or bearish.

Sources: Options Industry Council (OCC): Gamma; Cboe — Mandy Xu: Much Ado About 0DTEs: Evaluating the Market Impact of SPX 0DTE Options.

REAL SESSION · HISTORICAL CASE STUDY

One session, two gamma horizons

Compare the two flips and untouched primary walls.

QQQ · Sep 11, 20261-minute source bars15-minute delayed model source
Full-session retrospectiveCompleted through 4:00 PM ETModel first recorded at 3:08 AM ET.
Full-session view
3:55 PM ET–4:00 PM ETO 715.45H 715.45L 714.74C 714.85
QQQ, 2026-09-11. 5-minute historical candles completed by 4:00 PM ET. Visible 9:30 AM ET to 4:00 PM ET. Later source minutes are hidden.713.10714.47715.84717.21718.59Gamma flip · ≤1 DTE: $716.60 · Native intraday: at most 1 DTE · first recorded 3:08 AM ETFlip ≤1 DTE 716.60Gamma flip · ≤7 DTE: $718.05 · Native weekly: at most 7 DTE · first recorded 3:08 AM ETFlip ≤7 DTE 718.059:30 AM ET12:45 PM ET4:00 PM ET
Gamma flip
Outside the price range shown: Call wall $710.00; Put wall $700.00.
Review the historical session
390 / 390
MOMENTS TO INSPECT

Choose a checkpoint for 1-minute detail. Later prices stay hidden.

HOW TO USE WHAT WAS VISIBLE

A flip crossing alone is not an entry.

Historical review. Plans are hypothetical; fills, delivered signals and a trading edge are not proved.

Context
Preopen walls: call $710.00, put $700.00. Flips: ≤1 DTE $716.60; ≤7 DTE $718.05. ≤1 DTE is not 0DTE-only. The 15-minute-delayed model was stale; alerts were suppressed. Pause until model timing and a fresh broker quote are verified. No order was authorized.
Wait for
The 09:55–09:59 block closed $716.82 above the short-horizon flip, known at 10:00 ET. This is an observation, not an automatic entry.
Execution
No order is specified or executed. Define entry, invalidation and risk separately using fresh quotes and acceptable spreads. Shorts require borrow; size must fit buying power. No option or futures trade is inferred.
Invalidation
A completed close back below the same flip challenges the hold-above idea. Keep the horizon fixed.
Management
Follow completed closes. Wait for any separately required wall touch. If no condition qualifies, staying out is valid.
What followed

Above at 10:00 ET; back below at 10:01. The session had 18 strict adjacent-close crossings; neither primary wall was touched. The weekly $718.05 flip stayed above the session range. No entry, alert, fill, edge or P&L is established.

Source, timestamps & selection
Candles
Databento XNAS.ITCH · venue OHLCV, not consolidated SIP volume. These are venue bars, not a consolidated market tape.
Model source
Tradier sandbox · original archived native model. Source delay: 900 seconds.
Model built
2026-09-11T07:03:58.932043+00:00
First recorded
2026-09-11T07:08:32.318429+00:00
Open interest timestamp
Unknown. No point-in-time open-interest clock was supplied.
Evidence limit
A local producer cycle recorded this model before the cash open. The producer log is mutable and has no independently sealed receipt. The first and selected records report stale=true and alerts_suppressed=true; no enabled alert, trader broadcast or execution is proved. Exact OI availability is unknown. The chart uses a different price provider. Bar-end times are the earliest theoretical observation times after a minute closes, not proven client delivery times.
Why this day
Four editorial examples selected after reviewing all 12 SPY/QQQ/IWM sessions from September 8–11, 2026. Hindsight selection is explicit. Untouched levels, recrossings and the invalidation-first case remain visible; no hit rate or predictive performance is claimed.

The producer record is mutable. “First recorded” describes the recorded archive; it is not proof that a trader received the same levels at that instant.

Archive fingerprints
  • resource-case-study-census.jsonaf9379d9eb6802044356957fd6cf9a96b203eb57bddafd844c2d56ebf679de85
  • cycles.parquetcb31c638974f19aea8cd9bc5b0bc0366f088e49ed69369d72f131823138b742f
  • contracts-QQQ.parquet7d0c5c93cc5fd95b5e70865e74765fb3c33b8cbaee4d88be42da9f2ec7ba7c62
  • QQQ-preview.jsonc7650ac0a1d9b5d4fc8cb3e66df8d5c07b578067a54f9874b5b36d0a161a9471
Explore the concept with a simplified model
TRY THE MODEL

What changes the exposure?

Move the contract count, then change the assumed position sign. The option’s gamma stays the same.

Illustrative example · not market data
DOLLAR GEX PER 1% UNDERLYING MOVE+$200,000.00
−$1.00M0+$1.00M
Spot $100.00Gamma 0.02Multiplier 100 shares
1,000 contracts
Assumed position sign

0.02 × 1,000 × 100 × $100.00² × 0.01 × (+1)

A positive assumed position sign gives positive modeled gamma. That does not mean the next price move will be up.

Gamma is held constant. The result approximates the dollar value of a delta-equivalent share change for a 1% move, valued at the starting price. Open interest alone does not reveal the position sign.

There may be several crossings

A curve can cross zero once, several times or never within the tested range. Inspect the curve instead of assuming one definitive level.

A simple crossing estimate

Fictional exposure is −$4.00 million at $99.00 and +$2.00 million at $100.00 per 1% move. Linear interpolation suggests a crossing near $99.67. That is a model estimate, not a quote or proven turning point.

A strike profile groups contracts at one underlying price. A flip curve reprices all included contracts across hypothetical prices. Their zeroes are not interchangeable.

A reference for slower decisions

For a multi-day view, compare the flip with the daily price trend and a relevant expiry window. Notice whether price spends time on one side or keeps crossing back and forth.

A touch or crossing does not predict the next move. Update the reference as price, volatility, contract coverage and time to expiry change.

Keep the horizon fixed

Compare price with the selected flip while checking the model’s assumptions. The chart does not prove how dealers will hedge.

  • Read the expiry horizon.
  • Check additional or off-scale crossings.
  • Recheck model timing after a large price move.

How this sits in a plan you already have

Treat the flip as a model crossing inside a plan you already have. It does not predict direction and it does not prove how dealers will hedge.

  • Wait for price at the flip cluster instead of chasing through the middle of the range.
  • Place the stop beyond that structure instead of an arbitrary tick count.
  • Recheck the expiry window before treating one crossing as the only flip.
  • If the data clock is not current, stand down. A demo or stale crossing is not a live crossing.

Sources and editorial notes

Read the primary references and editorial policy

Published by GEXfreak. Prism by GEXfreak is the product described in these guides. Definitions reference the primary sources below; examples and tool-selection checklists are GEXfreak’s own illustrations. This is product education, not independent investment research.

These sources explain options mechanics and data. They do not endorse Prism or validate the predictive value of its levels. Undated pages are marked below; the checked date is when the source was reviewed.

For the product’s calculation and data boundaries, read Prism’s methodology.

All resources
QQQSep 9, 2026Historical
Price meets the flip
Flip ≤1 DTE 717.91
QQQ, 2026-09-09. 5-minute historical candles completed by 4:00 PM ET. Visible 9:30 AM ET to 10:30 AM ET. Later source minutes are hidden.9:30 AM10:00 AM10:30 AM
5m candles · XNAS · recorded model
IWMSep 11, 2026Historical
One wall. Repeated tests.
Put wall 290.00
IWM, 2026-09-11. 1-minute historical candles completed by 4:00 PM ET. Visible 9:35 AM ET to 10:15 AM ET. Later source minutes are hidden.9:35 AM9:55 AM10:15 AM
1m closes · XNAS · recorded model
SPYSep 10, 2026Historical
Model time ≠ candle time
Model built 7:01 AM ETFirst recorded 7:03 AM ET
SPY, 2026-09-10. 15-minute historical candles completed by 4:00 PM ET. Visible 9:30 AM ET to 4:00 PM ET. Later source minutes are hidden.9:30 AM12:45 PM4:00 PM
15m model delay · OI time unknown
REAL PRICES · REBUILT LEVELS · BACK-TESTED TRADES

Is the monthly flip a floor?

Four situations at the flip, each counted.
  • Support fade146
  • Resistance fade157
  • Break down72
  • Break up52
SPY and QQQ · 2018–2020 · 427 recorded events at the monthly flip
REAL PRICES · REBUILT LEVELS

When the daily flip is not drawn

The daily flip needs a same-day expiry.
0%50%100%2018202020222024SPYQQQ
Share of sessions with a daily flip at 09:35, by year

Open the paid workspace.

Membership is required for live SPY, QQQ and IWM books. Compare the flip with price and expiry on a live book, not on this labeled demo.

Demo values are fictional. Create an account to save your layout; review current access conditions on the pricing page.